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Red69
682519.4
742323.2
871728.4
Blue62
542918.4
691823.7
838721.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74690501001502006962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8717
#21
28.40.4
27.927.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End7.2
red by 4.8
6918
#20
23.70.6
26.025.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.5
Second
7423
#27
23.20.4
22.922.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End7.2
red by 1.5
8387
#28
21.70.7
21.620.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
Third
6825
#35
19.40.4
18.217.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End6.9
red by 1.0
5429
#25
18.40.7
18.217.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned