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Red73
901811.4
800531.2
741523.6
Blue94
504915.0
592433.2
59738.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669302040801201401607394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#17
31.20.5
31.231.7
Auto6.3
Teleop18.1
End6.8
blue by 7.4
597
#7
38.60.7
38.539.2
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End7.6
Second
7415
#13
23.60.5
23.624.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End6.4
blue by 9.6
33.20.7
31.131.8
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End7.6
Third
9018
#43
11.40.5
10.911.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End3.7
blue by 3.6
5049
#36
15.00.8
14.115.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned