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Red100
900218.2
6035.5
450130.7
Blue108
742640.6
99130.7
682519.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8992050150200250100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#14
35.50.4
35.636.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End6.4
blue by 5.1
7426
#10
40.61.5
38.239.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.0
End6.0
Second
4501
#19
30.70.4
30.731.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End8.9
blue by 0.1
991
#15
30.71.5
29.831.3
Auto10.7
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Third
9002
#23
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End7.3
blue by 1.3
6825
#35
19.41.6
17.819.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned