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Red156
928725.6
35961.9
427054.9
Blue118
742640.6
138840.7
265823.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910350150200156118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
61.90.0
61.961.8
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
red by 21.2
40.70.3
40.440.7
Auto13.8
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Second
54.90.0
54.854.8
Auto9.5
Teleop36.1
End9.2
red by 14.3
7426
#10
40.60.3
40.340.6
Auto12.6
Teleop22.0
End6.0
Third
9287
#22
25.60.0
25.625.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End7.7
red by 2.0
2658
#31
23.60.3
23.323.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End6.8