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Red162
69457.5
87057.7
53330.1
Blue116
573647.8
32942.4
509917.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157108406080100120140180200162116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
57.70.5
57.257.7
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
red by 9.9
47.80.2
47.647.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.2
End7.7
Second
694
#1
57.50.5
57.157.5
Auto16.2
Teleop30.7
End10.3
red by 15.1
329
#4
42.40.2
42.242.4
Auto9.1
Teleop23.6
End9.8
Third
533
#35
30.10.5
29.730.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End6.9
red by 12.4
5099
#37
17.80.2
17.517.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.6