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Red76
918418.6
53330.1
51421.5
Blue104
457117.2
87057.7
155423.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210005015076104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#35
30.10.2
25.325.5
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End6.9
blue by 27.6
870
#2
57.70.7
56.056.7
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
Second
514
#45
21.50.3
19.820.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 2.1
1554
#31
23.61.1
17.718.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
Third
9184
#39
18.60.3
17.818.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End3.9
red by 1.4
4571
#30
17.21.1
15.616.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned