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Red60
179629.6
66367.7
680630.3
Blue78
529823.0
753941.7
901628.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75832040601001201406078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#23
30.31.7
28.827.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End8.8
blue by 11.4
41.70.3
34.234.0
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End7.9
Second
1796
#18
29.62.4
28.826.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End7.4
red by 1.3
9016
#20
28.30.3
22.221.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.2
Third
6636
#47
7.72.4
13.911.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End4.1
blue by 15.3
5298
#11
23.00.4
20.319.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed