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Red107
35820.5
260139.8
53330.1
Blue79
60117.5
26320.6
52734.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827320406010012014010779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.8
29.631.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.1
End8.7
red by 5.7
527
#22
34.10.3
29.730.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End7.5
Second
533
#35
30.11.1
25.526.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End6.9
red by 9.5
263
#21
20.60.5
19.620.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.6
End5.6
Third
358
#36
20.51.8
20.422.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End4.0
red by 3.0
601
#33
17.50.5
20.621.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed