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Red107
901628.3
320414.7
69457.5
Blue66
287254.0
155423.6
559910.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978940608012014016010766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
57.51.1
53.454.5
Auto16.2
Teleop30.7
End10.3
red by 3.6
2872
#17
54.01.3
54.653.3
Auto16.1
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
9016
#20
28.31.1
21.923.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.2
red by 4.7
1554
#31
23.62.1
18.816.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
Third
3204
#27
14.71.9
14.816.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 4.7
5599
#42
10.02.1
11.59.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed