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Red51
188014.0
27127.9
509917.8
Blue117
260139.8
87057.7
87126.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48127010015020051117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#13
27.90.7
24.123.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
blue by 29.8
870
#2
57.70.5
56.757.2
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
Second
5099
#37
17.81.0
18.717.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.6
blue by 22.0
39.80.9
31.432.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.1
End8.7
Third
1880
#40
14.01.0
12.311.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 12.6
871
#16
26.60.9
21.121.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned