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Red112
341936.1
27127.9
287530.4
Blue87
753941.7
457117.2
691133.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9079406010012014011287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.12.6
30.332.9
Auto10.2
Teleop18.5
End7.4
blue by 5.6
41.70.8
34.635.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End7.9
Second
2875
#24
30.41.6
29.731.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.6
End6.9
blue by 2.8
6911
#10
33.21.3
21.823.1
Auto13.2
Teleop12.2
End7.8
Third
271
#13
27.91.8
23.325.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
red by 10.7
4571
#30
17.21.3
19.220.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned