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Red99
155423.6
901628.3
179629.6
Blue113
60117.5
573647.8
32942.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911305010015099113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#18
29.62.1
24.826.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End7.4
blue by 18.2
47.80.5
42.943.4
Auto11.8
Teleop28.2
End7.7
Second
9016
#20
28.31.2
24.625.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.2
blue by 14.1
329
#4
42.40.5
35.936.4
Auto9.1
Teleop23.6
End9.8
Third
1554
#31
23.62.1
21.023.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 6.1
601
#33
17.50.9
21.522.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned