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Red129
362427.0
260139.8
341936.1
Blue51
88417.5
901628.3
286923.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686602040608010012012951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.85.1
24.529.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.1
End8.7
red by 11.5
9016
#20
28.31.7
23.922.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.6
End5.2
Second
36.15.1
21.526.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.5
End7.4
red by 13.0
2869
#19
23.11.7
20.719.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End5.3
Third
3624
#26
27.05.1
17.222.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End5.8
red by 9.5
884
#44
17.52.3
17.415.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed