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Red37
35820.5
155423.6
45675.1
Blue71
88417.5
80615.5
263834.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56642040801003771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1554
#31
23.61.8
23.121.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
blue by 10.5
2638
#14
34.00.8
30.331.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Second
358
#36
20.51.8
24.522.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End4.0
red by 3.0
884
#44
17.51.4
15.817.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Third
4567
#46
5.11.8
5.63.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 10.4
806
#12
15.50.8
12.613.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed