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Red111
60117.5
179629.6
87057.7
Blue120
341936.1
691133.2
146850.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011880100140160111120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
57.70.5
54.655.1
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
red by 7.0
50.70.7
48.348.9
Auto11.3
Teleop31.2
End8.1
Second
1796
#18
29.60.8
26.126.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End7.4
blue by 6.4
36.11.2
34.635.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Third
601
#33
17.50.8
23.123.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.5
blue by 15.7
6911
#10
33.21.2
26.727.8
Auto13.2
Teleop12.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned