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Red99
51421.5
771721.5
52734.1
Blue103
320414.7
753941.7
32942.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6199020408012014016099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#22
34.12.5
29.431.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End7.5
blue by 8.3
329
#4
42.41.0
37.038.0
Auto9.1
Teleop23.6
End9.8
Second
7717
#34
21.54.1
14.818.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.7
blue by 20.1
41.71.0
39.640.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End7.9
Third
514
#45
21.54.1
17.821.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
red by 6.8
3204
#27
14.71.7
11.112.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned