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Red64
28722.9
529823.0
918418.6
Blue41
873922.5
60117.5
696915.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656545505560706441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#11
23.00.2
23.022.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.5
red by 0.5
8739
#32
22.52.1
21.419.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End7.1
Second
287
#43
22.90.2
22.522.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End4.1
red by 5.4
601
#33
17.52.1
23.921.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Third
9184
#39
18.60.2
15.615.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End3.9
red by 3.4
6969
#29
15.21.3
15.814.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed