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Red125
573647.8
362427.0
27127.9
Blue45
188014.0
529823.0
51421.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10953020408010012014016012545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.0
45.847.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.2
End7.7
red by 24.8
5298
#11
23.01.2
22.821.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.5
Second
271
#13
27.92.0
24.326.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
red by 6.4
514
#45
21.51.2
22.521.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Third
3624
#26
27.02.8
25.428.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.9
End5.8
red by 12.9
1880
#40
14.01.2
11.710.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed