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Red47
320414.7
559910.0
859532.3
Blue28
873922.5
66367.7
188014.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58642040801004728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.9
26.725.8
Auto12.6
Teleop13.6
End6.2
red by 9.8
8739
#32
22.53.1
20.517.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End7.1
Second
3204
#27
14.71.2
15.814.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 0.7
1880
#40
14.03.1
18.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Third
5599
#42
10.01.2
15.714.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End2.9
red by 2.2
6636
#47
7.73.1
17.013.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed