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Red76
873922.5
509917.8
529823.0
Blue69
88417.5
155423.6
51421.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61672040801001207669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#11
23.01.6
21.623.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.5
blue by 0.6
1554
#31
23.60.2
23.423.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
Second
8739
#32
22.51.6
20.922.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End7.1
red by 1.0
514
#45
21.50.2
21.421.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Third
5099
#37
17.81.6
15.717.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.6
red by 0.3
884
#44
17.50.2
17.417.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed