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Red78
287530.4
80615.5
87126.6
Blue95
35327.6
260139.8
753941.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73123204060801001401607895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#24
30.40.6
31.030.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.6
End6.9
blue by 11.3
41.70.3
41.641.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End7.9
Second
871
#16
26.60.8
27.426.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End7.7
blue by 13.2
39.80.4
39.739.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.1
End8.7
Third
806
#12
15.50.6
16.215.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End5.1
blue by 12.1
353
#15
27.60.4
27.527.2
Auto9.6
Teleop13.2
End4.8