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Red153
69457.5
87057.7
53330.1
Blue121
52734.1
341936.1
263834.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910150150200153121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
57.70.1
57.557.6
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
red by 21.6
36.10.4
35.235.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Second
694
#1
57.50.1
57.357.5
Auto16.2
Teleop30.7
End10.3
red by 23.4
527
#22
34.10.3
33.433.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End7.5
Third
533
#35
30.10.1
29.930.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End6.9
blue by 3.9
2638
#14
34.00.3
33.333.6
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End6.4