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Red90
287525.3
81028.5
901623.9
Blue55
286920.7
859526.7
263825.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59650501001502009055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#15
28.53.7
20.624.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 1.8
8595
#13
26.71.1
15.814.7
Auto10.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Second
2875
#18
25.33.7
19.022.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End6.7
blue by 0.1
2638
#29
25.31.1
25.023.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
9016
#14
23.99.3
29.820.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 3.2
2869
#36
20.71.1
19.218.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed