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Red94
445829.5
313724.2
317144.5
Blue95
826725.6
146842.5
859526.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76780501001509495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.0
32.434.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.4
End8.3
red by 2.0
42.51.4
31.633.0
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End5.2
Second
4458
#11
29.52.0
22.024.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
red by 2.8
8595
#13
26.71.4
17.318.7
Auto10.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Third
3137
#38
24.22.0
16.718.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End5.5
blue by 1.4
8267
#16
25.61.4
23.625.0
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed