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Red64
767313.6
226518.9
32933.3
Blue59
445829.5
763634.5
36931.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61770501001502006459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#21
33.30.0
24.624.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End8.0
blue by 1.2
7636
#10
34.51.0
32.231.2
Auto7.7
Teleop19.5
End7.3
Second
2265
#32
18.90.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0
blue by 12.1
369
#20
31.11.2
17.616.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Third
7673
#22
13.60.0
17.317.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End4.4
blue by 15.9
4458
#11
29.51.2
20.219.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed