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Red91
700419.6
395043.1
501616.6
Blue41
767313.6
640115.0
286920.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785202040601001201409141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.12.3
36.538.8
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End10.2
red by 22.4
2869
#36
20.71.8
24.222.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Second
7004
#25
19.62.3
15.617.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
red by 4.6
6401
#44
15.01.8
12.811.0
Auto2.0
Teleop7.8
End5.2
Third
5016
#43
16.62.3
17.920.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
red by 3.1
7673
#22
13.61.8
15.113.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed