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Red94
412231.2
573638.2
226518.9
Blue121
49621.9
753934.0
317144.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110440608012014016018094121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.8
39.039.8
Auto8.6
Teleop21.9
End7.7
blue by 6.3
44.51.6
41.443.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.4
End8.3
Second
4122
#12
31.20.8
30.431.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.1
End8.3
blue by 2.8
34.01.6
33.535.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End5.1
Third
2265
#32
18.90.8
17.318.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0
blue by 3.0
496
#26
21.91.6
20.922.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed