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Red53
234719.5
565916.4
859526.7
Blue155
763634.5
700419.6
263825.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728620406010012014053155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8595
#13
26.72.2
25.923.8
Auto10.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
blue by 7.7
7636
#10
34.53.0
34.137.1
Auto7.7
Teleop19.5
End7.3
Second
2347
#24
19.52.2
21.519.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End4.9
blue by 5.8
2638
#29
25.34.6
26.531.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
5659
#34
16.42.2
21.419.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 3.2
7004
#25
19.64.6
17.922.5
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned