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Red101
32933.3
445829.5
54518.5
Blue121
573638.2
659320.6
287255.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611750100150200101121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#21
33.32.4
31.333.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End8.0
blue by 22.0
55.31.6
48.449.9
Auto15.3
Teleop29.7
End10.2
Second
4458
#11
29.52.4
25.527.9
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 8.7
38.21.6
39.841.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Third
545
#30
18.52.4
19.521.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.6
blue by 2.1
6593
#33
20.61.6
16.317.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned