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Red79
317144.5
700419.6
154618.3
Blue71
763634.5
33423.6
56912.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9372501507971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.0
43.041.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.4
End8.3
red by 10.1
7636
#10
34.50.3
37.136.8
Auto7.7
Teleop19.5
End7.3
Second
7004
#25
19.62.0
22.520.5
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 4.0
334
#28
23.60.4
18.718.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Third
1546
#31
18.32.0
18.916.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End6.7
red by 6.1
569
#41
12.20.4
14.213.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed