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Red50
696911.2
36931.1
700419.6
Blue99
287525.3
2814.3
445829.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64664060801005099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#20
31.11.1
29.828.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End7.1
red by 1.6
4458
#11
29.51.5
27.929.4
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Second
7004
#25
19.60.9
20.519.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 5.6
2875
#18
25.31.7
21.022.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End6.7
Third
6969
#45DQ
11.21.0
9.99.0
Auto0.2
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 3.1
28
#35
14.31.5
12.714.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned