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Red43
286920.7
642316.3
202716.5
Blue111
33336.9
216113.2
573638.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517102040608010012014016043111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#36
20.70.8
18.117.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.3
blue by 17.5
38.23.3
28.732.1
Auto8.6
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Second
2027
#40
16.50.8
12.812.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
blue by 20.4
333
#8
36.93.3
21.825.1
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.0
Third
6423
#27
16.30.8
19.618.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End9.5
red by 3.2
2161
#37
13.23.3
13.516.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed