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Red146
87053.9
287255.3
33423.6
Blue91
32933.3
859526.7
81028.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145885010020025014691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.2
54.053.8
Auto15.3
Teleop29.7
End10.2
red by 22.0
329
#21
33.30.2
33.833.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
870
#2
53.90.2
52.752.5
Auto12.8
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 25.4
810
#15
28.50.2
29.028.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.0
Third
334
#28
23.60.2
22.422.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.8
End3.9
blue by 3.1
8595
#13
26.70.2
27.227.0
Auto10.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2