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Qual 122023 New York City Regional
Red50
727219.5
234430.3
688012.0
Blue35
35425.2
834615.6
37609.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62603040507080905035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#9
30.31.4
21.7→20.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End6.4
red by 5.1
354
#18
25.22.4
22.0→19.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Second
7272
#19
19.51.4
19.4→18.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End5.0
red by 3.9
8346
#28
15.62.4
15.9→13.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End6.5
Third
6880
#33
12.01.4
16.8→15.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End3.6
red by 2.5
3760
#42
9.52.4
18.6→16.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed