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Red48
857032.7
903022.9
33418.1
Blue26
115524.3
37609.5
64014.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63603040507080904826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#12
32.71.1
21.420.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.7
End7.6
red by 8.5
1155
#39
24.32.2
27.525.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Second
9030
#24
22.91.1
18.217.1
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
red by 8.5
640
#40
14.43.6
13.910.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
334
#37
18.10.6
18.117.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End3.7
red by 8.6
3760
#42
9.53.6
17.313.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed