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Red38
457124.2
580615.7
834615.6
Blue118
542123.4
179655.8
664818.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4787020406010012014016038118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4571
#15
24.20.8
21.720.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.0
blue by 31.6
55.82.8
50.253.0
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
Second
5806
#45
15.71.3
15.013.7
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
blue by 7.7
5421
#31
23.44.6
11.416.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Third
8346
#28
15.61.3
12.611.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End6.5
blue by 2.6
6648
#34
18.22.8
14.817.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned