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Red58
929514.2
74314.1
680625.9
Blue39
115524.3
771818.5
580615.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526101001502002505839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6806
#27
25.90.2
27.427.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.3
End6.7
red by 1.6
1155
#39
24.31.1
23.722.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Second
9295
#32
14.20.4
13.013.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End5.0
blue by 4.3
7718
#21
18.51.1
17.316.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2
Third
743
#29
14.10.4
9.29.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End5.9
blue by 1.7
5806
#45
15.71.8
15.113.3
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed