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Qual 632023 New York City Regional
Red108
64014.4
529822.7
260156.9
Blue114
179655.8
727219.5
301727.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90990200300400108114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#5
56.91.5
52.4→53.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.3
End8.6
red by 1.2
1796
#2
55.81.5
53.8→55.3
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
Second
5298
#47
22.71.5
22.7→24.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End6.4
blue by 5.0
3017
#10
27.72.3
19.0→21.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.7
End7.1
Third
640
#40
14.42.3
10.7→13.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
blue by 5.1
7272
#19
19.52.3
18.8→21.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned