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Red51
929514.2
66369.8
115524.3
Blue35
727219.5
773013.4
873923.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456701001505135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#39
24.30.4
22.623.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End5.2
red by 1.2
8739
#30
23.11.7
23.421.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Second
9295
#32
14.20.5
13.413.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End5.0
blue by 5.2
7272
#19
19.52.4
21.118.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End5.0
Third
6636
#41
9.80.4
9.49.8
Auto0.1
Teleop4.3
End5.4
blue by 3.5
7730
#48
13.42.4
15.713.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed