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Red100
30046.4
457124.2
784015.5
Blue77
286924.5
903022.9
74314.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535130406070809010010077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4571
#15
24.21.9
23.321.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.0
blue by 0.3
2869
#35
24.51.9
21.423.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.4
End6.1
Second
7840
#49
15.51.9
17.515.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End6.1
blue by 7.3
9030
#24
22.92.7
18.220.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
3004
#43
6.42.8
8.15.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.1
End2.4
blue by 7.7
743
#29
14.12.7
9.512.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsMissed