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Red24
188014.9
703623.4
905218.6
Blue29
580615.7
33512.2
64014.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545130406070802429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7036
#38
23.43.5
18.314.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.7
End6.8
red by 7.7
5806
#45
15.72.7
19.316.6
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
Second
9052
#20
18.65.4
18.613.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End5.8
red by 4.2
640
#40
14.42.7
13.811.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
1880
#22
14.92.3
15.212.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.2
red by 2.7
335
#16
12.22.7
15.112.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed