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Red126
69459.9
179655.8
815920.6
Blue124
286924.5
857032.7
680625.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15976050100200126124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
59.90.3
60.960.6
Auto15.6
Teleop34.5
End9.5
red by 27.1
8570
#12
32.71.0
32.233.2
Auto10.5
Teleop14.7
End7.6
Second
55.80.3
56.756.5
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
red by 29.9
6806
#27
25.90.8
25.426.3
Auto8.9
Teleop10.3
End6.7
Third
8159
#23
20.60.3
21.621.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.0
End7.1
blue by 3.9
2869
#35
24.50.8
24.124.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.4
End6.1