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Red77
680625.9
857032.7
286924.5
Blue105
771818.5
691142.6
35425.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919060708010011012077105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#12
32.70.5
33.232.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.7
End7.6
blue by 9.8
42.60.2
42.242.4
Auto16.4
Teleop17.3
End8.8
Second
6806
#27
25.90.4
26.325.9
Auto8.9
Teleop10.3
End6.7
red by 0.6
354
#18
25.20.2
24.825.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Third
2869
#35
24.50.4
24.924.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.4
End6.1
red by 6.0
7718
#21
18.50.2
18.118.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2