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Red138
300330.9
159146.3
301547.7
Blue75
34039.0
150739.3
25029.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351188010016018020013875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.3
47.547.7
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End8.0
red by 8.5
39.31.6
40.839.3
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End7.8
Second
46.30.3
46.146.3
Auto15.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
red by 7.3
340
#18
39.01.7
40.739.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.6
End7.5
Third
3003
#26
30.90.3
30.630.9
Auto11.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
red by 1.2
250
#21
29.71.6
31.229.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3