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Red74
19121.6
205327.2
686832.2
Blue52
27122.1
409322.2
415026.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64610501001502007452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6868
#16
32.21.6
19.020.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.6
End4.6
red by 5.6
4150
#32
26.60.7
24.023.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Second
2053
#11
27.21.6
20.622.2
Auto13.1
Teleop9.2
End4.9
red by 5.0
4093
#27
22.20.7
16.615.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Third
191
#40
21.61.6
20.121.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.0
blue by 0.5
271
#28
22.10.7
17.416.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed