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Red82
318123.9
662120.4
25029.7
Blue101
680628.5
63922.4
301547.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56780204010012014016082101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#21
29.73.0
17.820.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3
blue by 18.0
47.73.4
29.633.0
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End8.0
Second
3181
#22
23.93.0
18.921.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End5.9
blue by 4.7
6806
#12
28.53.4
19.422.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End9.5
Third
6621
#33
20.43.0
18.321.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End7.1
blue by 2.0
639
#47
22.43.4
21.424.8
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned