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Red107
402739.1
159146.3
409322.2
Blue75
300330.9
25029.7
311718.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988720406012014016018010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.9
34.836.7
Auto15.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
red by 15.5
3003
#26
30.92.0
26.024.0
Auto11.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Second
39.11.9
32.634.5
Auto13.1
Teleop19.4
End6.6
red by 9.4
250
#21
29.72.0
33.731.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3
Third
4093
#27
22.21.9
22.824.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 3.8
3117
#37
18.42.0
23.521.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned