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Red73
217221.2
145012.5
317338.3
Blue59
395126.5
155937.3
27122.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7772405060901001107359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.1
31.631.7
Auto12.3
Teleop18.0
End8.1
red by 1.0
1559
#15
37.31.6
25.824.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Second
2172
#35
21.20.2
22.923.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 5.3
3951
#30
26.51.6
21.820.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.3
End5.7
Third
1450
#55
12.50.2
17.017.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End1.8
blue by 9.6
271
#28
22.11.6
21.019.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsMissed