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Red108
399040.7
301547.7
493020.0
Blue84
150739.3
415026.6
155122.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10882406010012014016018010884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.1
40.741.8
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End8.0
red by 8.5
39.30.2
38.638.4
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End7.8
Second
40.71.1
38.439.5
Auto13.5
Teleop19.2
End8.0
red by 14.1
4150
#32
26.60.2
19.919.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Third
4930
#38
20.01.1
18.819.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End5.9
blue by 2.6
1551
#20
22.60.2
22.021.8
Auto9.7
Teleop5.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned