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Red100
222831.2
317338.3
304415.2
Blue79
574026.7
383822.3
217221.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817020406010012014010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.4
31.733.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.0
End8.1
red by 11.6
5740
#23
26.71.3
22.023.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End8.8
Second
2228
#19
31.22.3
26.528.8
Auto10.4
Teleop15.0
End5.8
red by 8.9
3838
#36
22.31.3
22.323.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End6.4
Third
3044
#39
15.22.3
16.218.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End4.2
blue by 6.0
2172
#35
21.21.3
23.124.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed